On Canadiens: Early season success owes to a deep forward corps

We have certainly been here before.

As fans of the Montreal Canadiens, we are not unfamiliar to our beloved club starting the season off with a searing pace. We are collectively turned into chest thumping optimists, replete with incidental facts that somehow tie this current iteration to the teams that lived through the unexpected glories of 1986 or 1993. The day dreaming of a long coveted Stanley Cup parade down Rue Ste-Catherine, makes us glance ahead into our calendars to June, to ensure that we will have the free time to attend.

We went through this in 2015, when after a Hart and Vezina Trophy winning campaign from Carey Price, the Canadiens won their first nine games of the season. The following year, the Habs were 9-0-1 before losing their first game in regulation (which history will also remember, as it arrived in the form of a 10-0 loss to the perpetual cannon-fodder that are the Columbus Blue Jackets).

In each of those years, the team’s sheen and place in the standings eventually faded, the Canadiens were besieged by some misfortune (an injury to Carey Price, or a complete level of underperformance which led to the firing of a coach midseason) and the season ended as it always does (for the last 26 years at least)… in disappointment.

Yet somehow, this year feels different. A cynic would be absolutely right in noting that we say this every year, but somehow this season actually does feel different.

The Canadiens have surged to 10 points after six games, and are tied for first place atop the North Division with the heavily favoured Toronto Maple Leafs. They have yet to lose a game in regulation time, have yet to be outshot in regulation time, and currently sit first in the league in ‘goals for’ in the entire NHL (18). They are 4th in the league for team CF% (54.7), an area that they have remained strong since the start of the 2018-19 season. All of this has been accomplished without the team playing a single game in Montreal.

In previous years, one could point to the towering bulwark that is Carey Price, and pin the team’s success solely on the work of their star netminder. Yet, thus far this season, Price has not been at his quintessential best. Price and his backup Jake Allen (who has featured in two games) have a combined 5 v 5 save percentage of .913, which sits firmly around league average. In truth, both netminders could have made saves on some of the goals that they have conceded so far, but uncharacteristically, the Canadiens’ impressive offensive numbers have made this less essential.

Also uncharacteristic is that the team has been mired with a streak of indiscipline, having been penalized 28 times, which is 3rd most in the league. The Canadiens took nine penalties on 21 January in Vancouver, a day after the team took six against the Canucks. That evening, coach Claude Julien spent much of the post game conference espousing how the team had to be much more disciplined. For a team that plays much of the game on the front foot, and dictates the pace of play, this fact is somewhat astonishing. One could reasonably expect, that this issue can be improved upon as the season progresses.

Ultimately, what has given the Canadiens the ability to open the season with such verve has been the balanced contributions of the Canadiens’ four forward lines, in terms of point production and distribution of work load.

The steady trio of Phillip Danault, Tomas Tatar and Brendan Gallagher has been well documented as being the lynchpin for the Canadiens’ attack in the two previous seasons, but this year, the growth of Nick Suzuki as a legitimate playmaking, and reliable two way centreman (flanked by Jonathan Drouin and Josh Anderson), and the emergence of Jesperi Kotkaniemi (who plays alongside Joel Armia and Tyler Toffoli) as a solid NHL player has given the Canadiens’ offense a level of depth that they have not had in decades.

All three of these lines have proven that they can play in all situations, and are in the the positive ledger of puck possession at 5 v 5, with Danault demonstrating a CF% 55.5, Suzuki 53.2 and Kotkaniemi 61.1% (stats via Natural Stat Trick). On a nightly basis, the Canadiens have also had different offensive stars emerge and carry the burden.

Against Toronto on opening night, it was the speed baron Josh Anderson (two goals) and nifty playmaker Jonathan Drouin (3 assists) who provided the offensive thrust. In two games in Edmonton against the Oilers, Jeff Petry and Tomas Tatar each scored twice, the Canadiens’ scored two short handed goals (from Artturi Lehkonen and Jake Evans) and saw the first goal of Alexander Romanov’s burgeoning career. In three games in Vancouver against the Canucks, the team was led by the offensive explosion of Tyler Toffoli who notched five goals in the first two of those games, against his former club.

Not yet mentioned has been the emergence of the Canadiens’ fourth line as a reliable and high energy trio. Jake Evans, in his second NHL season, has become a revelation and has been trusted by Claude Julien to provide key minutes on the penalty kill, and take defensive zone faceoffs. His linemates, of Artturi Lehkonen and Paul Byron, flank him with veteran presence, that gives coach Julien the confidence to not only play, but to control, regular shifts.

The Canadiens’ balance through their forward ranks is evidenced by the fact that Nick Suzuki leads in ice time with 17:33. Paul Byron is the least played forward at 11:53 (this also comes after he took a Shea Weber slap shot to his foot on 21 January, and missed the final half of the third period). Compared to North Division rivals Edmonton and Vancouver (who the Canadiens have faced in five of six games), the Canadiens forward corps usage is far more spread out. The Oilers have three forwards that play on average over 21 minutes each game (McDavid, Draisaitl and Nugent-Hopkins), while the Canucks have four forwards (Horvat, Boeser, Miller and Pettersson) that play more than 18 minutes.

For the time being, Julien has been able to exploit this advantage, as he has rolled four lines at regular intervals, ensuring that the Canadiens play with consistent pace and intensity. Over the last two seasons, the Habs have been at their best when they have been able to play with this aggressive forecheck/reload system, which allows the team to persistently harangue opposition defense with unyielding pressure, create turnovers, and pin their opponent in the defensive zone for several minutes at a time. Over the first six games, the Canadiens were able to suffocate their opponents in this manner, and particularly against the Oilers and Canucks, it completely demoralized them for subsequent game (s).

At the best of times, lacking discipline is a recipe for disaster. Not only is the opposition afforded a powerplay and an improved opportunity to score, but it also impedes with the flow of the game, and displaces many skilled forwards that do not contribute to the penalty killing efforts, away from a regular shift. When penalties stack up, teams can see their offensive stars out of the rhythm of the action for several minutes, and it threatens to throw all the line combinations out of sync. Although the Canadiens have had moments of penalties stacked upon one another this season, they have a full complement of forwards that can effectively kill penalties. Julien has used seven forwards on the penalty kill so far, using pairings of Danault/Lehkonen, Evans/Byron, Suzuki/Armia, with Toffoli as an extra. This has allowed the team to return to 5 v 5 play without a loss in vim.

The depth in the forward ranks has also ensured appropriate coverage for injury, which the Canadiens have unfortunately had to deal with in the past week. Joel Armia scored four points against the Canucks on 21 January, and had his best game of the season, but suffered a concussion in the closing moments from an egregious and unnecessary hit from the Canucks’ woeful defender Tyler Myers. In previous years, an injury of this magnitude to an important player that provides terrific effort on the forecheck, and work on the penalty kill, would have been a sizeable blow. However, the Canadiens replaced him with a decorated veteran in Corey Perry, who fit into the lineup admirably, generated a few scoring chances and scored in his first game. The Canadiens’ also have the peripatetic utilityman Michel Frolik and 2017 1st round pick, Ryan Poehling, in their reserves. These players continue to train with the team on a daily basis, as part of the travelling taxi squad.

Having played three of the six opponents that they will face over the course of this regular season, the Canadiens have proven to themselves that not only can they compete in the North Division, but that they have a decided advantage through the depth that they possess. This advantage manifests fully when the Canadiens play an opposition in back to back, or three in a row situations, as they physically and mentally overwhelm through their speed and intensity. Provided that they can remain healthy, the Canadiens should be able to use this advantage to its full extent as the attrition of this season mounts.

So in the end, while Canadiens fans have been here plenty of times before, standing atop the mountain after a handful of games, boasting that Lord Stanley will once again return to its eternal resting place, only to have those delusions end abruptly, this time surely feels different. For the first time in a long time, the Canadiens appear to be well built, and capable of coping with the duress of a long season.

Jaideep Kanungo

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